Last updated Oct 27, 1:52 PM
How this forecast works: read the DDHQ forecast methodology.
Democrats
Republicans
Decision Desk HQ's model gives Democrats a 80% chance of winning the House, with a projected 238 seats. The table below lists the most competitive House races, closest to call first.
| State | DemocraticRepublican | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Ohio 7 | 51% | Toss Up |
| Iowa 2 | 53% | Toss Up |
| Maine 2 | 54% | Toss Up |
| Texas 15 | 54% | Toss Up |
| Texas 35 | 56% | Toss Up |
| North Carolina 11 | 57% | Toss Up |
| Florida 22 | 58% | Toss Up |
| Pennsylvania 8 | 58% | Toss Up |
| Colorado 3 | 60% | Toss Up |
| New York 17 | 60% | Toss Up |
Decision Desk HQ's model gives Democrats a 57% chance of winning the Senate, with a projected 51 seats. The table below lists the most competitive Senate races, closest to call first.
Democrats
Republicans
Democrats
Republicans