Joe Mitchell
Lindsay James
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 68% fundamentals, 7% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Lindsay James | 50.00% |
| Joe Mitchell | 47.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Lindsay James | 46.00% |
| Joe Mitchell | 45.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Lindsay James | 36.00% |
| Joe Mitchell | 33.00% |
| Other Option | 31.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lindsay James | $3,917,994 | $3,652,041 | $169,389 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Joe Mitchell | $2,916,069 | $2,370,535 | $19,413 | $2,099,440 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
