Casey Askar
Pia Dandiya
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 68% fundamentals, 7% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Pia Dandiya | 46.27% |
| Casey Askar | 45.48% |
| Other Option | 8.26% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Pia Dandiya | 46.00% |
| Casey Askar | 44.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Casey Askar | 50.00% |
| Pia Dandiya | 50.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Casey Askar | $7,357,433 | $5,476,246 | - | $704,806 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Pia Dandiya | $4,619,822 | $3,884,717 | $27,204 | $33,944 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
