ForecastLast updated Oct 27, 1:52 PM
Carlos De La Cruz
Johnny Garcia
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 66% fundamentals, 9% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Carlos De La Cruz | 48.00% |
| Johnny Garcia | 47.00% |
| Other Option | 5.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Johnny Garcia | 47.00% |
| Carlos De La Cruz | 45.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Johnny Garcia | 51.00% |
| Carlos De La Cruz | 49.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Carlos De La Cruz | $2,021,118 | $1,708,510 | $2,351,285 | $51,677 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Johnny Garcia | $2,201,579 | $2,052,076 | $2,654,203 | $113,924 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
