Brian Poindexter
Max Miller*
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 66% fundamentals, 9% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Brian Poindexter | 45.69% |
| Max Miller | 41.73% |
| Other Option | 12.59% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Brian Poindexter | 43.00% |
| Max Miller | 35.00% |
| Other Option | 22.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Brian Poindexter | 47.00% |
| Max Miller | 33.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brian Poindexter | $3,720,342 | $2,926,666 | $874,945 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Max Miller | $3,324,942 | $3,363,842 | - | $346,509 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
