ForecastLast updated Oct 27, 1:52 PM
Monica De La Cruz*
Bobby Pulido
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 64% fundamentals, 11% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Bobby Pulido | 51.00% |
| Monica De La Cruz | 44.00% |
| Other Option | 5.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Bobby Pulido | 54.00% |
| Monica De La Cruz | 41.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Bobby Pulido | 50.00% |
| Monica De La Cruz | 45.00% |
| Other Option | 5.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Monica De La Cruz | $6,814,267 | $7,034,425 | - | $2,075,298 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Bobby Pulido | $6,819,247 | $5,549,792 | $1,279,217 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
