ForecastLast updated Oct 27, 1:52 PM
Jamie Ager
Jennifer Balkcom
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 70% fundamentals, 5% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Jamie Ager | 49.87% |
| Jennifer Balkcom | 44.12% |
| Other Option | 5.19% |
| Travis Groo | 0.82% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Jamie Ager | 56.00% |
| Jennifer Balkcom | 43.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Jamie Ager | 47.00% |
| Jennifer Balkcom | 44.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jamie Ager | $5,869,453 | $5,249,295 | $316,634 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Jennifer Balkcom | $399,492 | $104,674 | - | $1,769,255 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
