Alan Wilson
Jermaine Johnson
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 94% fundamentals and 6% polls. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Alan Wilson | 51.00% |
| Jermaine Johnson | 41.00% |
| Other Option | 5.00% |
| Michael Addison | 1.00% |
| Walid Hakim | 1.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Alan Wilson | 42.00% |
| Jermaine Johnson | 31.00% |
| Other Option | 26.00% |
| Walid Hakim | 0.00% |
| Michael Addison | 0.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Alan Wilson | 52.50% |
| Jermaine Johnson | 36.50% |
| Other Option | 5.20% |
| Michael Addison | 4.20% |
| Walid Hakim | 1.60% |
