Gabriel Amo*
Kellie Keenan
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Amo | 53.93% |
| Kellie Keenan | 25.87% |
| Other Option | 14.05% |
| Pedro de Souza | 6.14% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Amo | 50.00% |
| Kellie Keenan | 31.00% |
| Other Option | 15.00% |
| Pedro de Souza | 4.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gabriel Amo | $1,952,763 | $888,546 | - | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Kellie Keenan | $15,410 | $13,578 | - | - | OCTOBER QUARTERLY | 9/30/2026 |
