Maggie Goodlander*
Lily Tang Williams
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 68% fundamentals, 7% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Maggie Goodlander | 54.00% |
| Lily Tang Williams | 38.00% |
| Other Option | 8.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Maggie Goodlander | 56.00% |
| Lily Tang Williams | 35.00% |
| Other Option | 6.00% |
| Robbie Mahrou | 3.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Maggie Goodlander | 50.00% |
| Lily Tang Williams | 35.00% |
| Other Option | 16.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Maggie Goodlander | $5,012,909 | $3,249,344 | $150,000 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Lily Tang Williams | $1,443,796 | $1,101,045 | - | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
| Lily Tang Williams | $1,108,535 | $573,795 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
