
Andy Harris*

Dan Schwartz
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Andy Harris | 52.00% |
| Dan Schwartz | 39.00% |
| Other Option | 8.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2,703,696 | $2,238,647 | $16,643 | $14,398 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 | |
| Daniel Schwartz | $1,155,585 | $1,160,058 | $10 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |