Julia Letlow
Jamie Davis
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 70% fundamentals, 5% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Julia Letlow | 48.00% |
| Jamie Davis | 44.00% |
| Other Option | 8.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Julia Letlow | 41.00% |
| Jamie Davis | 37.00% |
| Other Option | 22.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Julia Letlow | $7,062,069 | $6,618,899 | $11,540,953 | $10,861,766 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Jamie Davis | $5,019,888 | $3,764,960 | - | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
