Mark Warner*
Bert Mizusawa
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Mark Warner | 45.00% |
| Glenn Youngkin | 38.00% |
| Other Option | 17.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bert Mizusawa | $1,097,120 | $944,726 | - | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Mark Warner | $27,493,348 | $21,664,081 | $150,089 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
