Elaine Luria
Jen Kiggans*
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 70% fundamentals, 5% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Elaine Luria | 46.00% |
| Jen Kiggans | 43.00% |
| Other Option | 12.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Elaine Luria | 47.00% |
| Jen Kiggans | 47.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Elaine Luria | $8,044,064 | $7,565,202 | $210,772 | $34,466 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Jen Kiggans | $7,589,812 | $6,342,881 | $371,271 | $2,431,579 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
