Vicente Gonzalez*
Eric Flores
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 73% fundamentals, 2% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Vicente Gonzalez | 50.00% |
| Eric Flores | 43.00% |
| Other Option | 5.00% |
| Eddie Espinoza | 2.00% |
| Chris Royal | 1.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Vicente Gonzalez | 45.00% |
| Eric Flores | 42.00% |
| Other Option | 8.00% |
| Eddie Espinoza | 3.00% |
| Chris Royal | 2.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Eric Flores | 44.00% |
| Vicente Gonzalez | 41.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Vicente Gonzalez | $5,211,344 | $4,096,455 | $266,984 | $55,450 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Eric Flores | $4,009,074 | $3,762,621 | $659,724 | $2,628,270 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
