Brent Taylor
Justin Pearson
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Brent Taylor | 48.00% |
| Justin Pearson | 44.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Justin Pearson | $4,009,058 | $3,262,930 | $36,435 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Brent Taylor | $2,832,273 | $2,308,022 | $476,551 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
