Kevin Hern
N'Kiyla Thomas
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Kevin Hern | 49.00% |
| N'Kiyla Thomas | 25.00% |
| Other Option | 19.00% |
| Curtis Stinnett | 4.00% |
| Sevier White | 3.00% |
| Ron Meinhardt | 1.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 N'Kiyla Thomas | $115,954 | $92,789 | - | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Kevin Hern | $10,862,233 | $8,050,247 | $2,449,306 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
