Greg Landsman*
Eric Conroy
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 73% fundamentals, 2% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Greg Landsman | 48.05% |
| Eric Conroy | 38.96% |
| Other Option | 9.86% |
| Nathan Weise | 3.13% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Greg Landsman | 46.60% |
| Eric Conroy | 42.40% |
| Other Option | 10.60% |
| Nathan Weise | 0.50% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Greg Landsman | 45.80% |
| Eric Conroy | 44.20% |
| Nathan Weise | 5.40% |
| Other Option | 4.60% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Greg Landsman | $5,662,206 | $5,339,370 | $11,179 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Eric Conroy | $2,278,076 | $2,015,240 | $286,610 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
