David Rouzer*
Kimberly Hardy
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| David Rouzer | 49.00% |
| Kimberly Hardy | 43.00% |
| Other Option | 8.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kimberly Hardy | $390,475 | $370,057 | $5,456 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 David Rouzer | $2,534,038 | $2,269,811 | - | $392 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
