Nicholas LaLota*
Christopher Gallant
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Nicholas LaLota | 41.00% |
| Chris Gallant | 38.00% |
| Other Option | 20.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Christopher Gallant | $1,735,638 | $1,309,645 | $1,181 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Nicholas LaLota | $4,486,089 | $2,847,174 | - | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
