Rebecca Bennett
Thomas Kean*
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Rebecca Bennett | 47.00% |
| Thomas Kean | 42.00% |
| Other Option | 10.00% |
| Seamus O'Toole | 1.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Tina Shah | 46.00% |
| Thomas Kean | 43.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rebecca Bennett | $8,757,003 | $7,703,549 | $1,407,076 | $660,676 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Thomas Kean | $6,128,373 | $4,811,254 | - | $380,943 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
