Cindy Hyde-Smith*
Scott Colom
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 64% fundamentals, 11% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Cindy Hyde-Smith | 43.00% |
| Scott Colom | 40.00% |
| Other Option | 11.00% |
| Ty Pinkins | 6.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Cindy Hyde-Smith | 44.00% |
| Scott Colom | 38.00% |
| Other Option | 11.00% |
| Ty Pinkins | 7.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Cindy Hyde-Smith | 39.00% |
| Scott Colom | 36.00% |
| Other Option | 23.00% |
| Ty Pinkins | 3.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Scott Colom | $4,400,890 | $3,382,173 | $784,746 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Cindy Hyde-Smith | $6,279,659 | $5,045,478 | $133,948 | $1,509,671 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
