Matt Little
Eric Pratt
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 70% fundamentals, 5% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Matt Little | 52.00% |
| Eric Pratt | 40.00% |
| Other Option | 8.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Kaela Berg | 42.60% |
| Eric Pratt | 42.50% |
| Other Option | 14.80% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Little | $1,494,554 | $1,289,779 | $476,837 | $17,393 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
| Tyler Kistner | $427,440 | $427,591 | - | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
