Christina Hines
Michael Bouchard
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Michael Bouchard | 47.20% |
| Christina Hines | 42.37% |
| Other Option | 8.30% |
| Mike Saliba | 1.64% |
| Andrea Kirby | 0.41% |
| Kwabena Nkromo | 0.07% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Christina Hines | 45.00% |
| Michael Bouchard | 45.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Mike Bouchard | 43.00% |
| Eric Chung | 41.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Christina Hines | $4,159,693 | $3,152,065 | $893,283 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Michael Bouchard | $2,672,722 | $1,112,737 | $162,924 | $353,504 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
