Christina Bohannan
Mariannette Miller-Meeks*
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 73% fundamentals, 2% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Christina Bohannan | 40.00% |
| Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 35.00% |
| Other Option | 13.00% |
| Michael Bridgford | 11.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Christina Bohannan | 43.00% |
| Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 39.00% |
| Other Option | 18.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Christina Bohannan | $9,905,570 | $7,901,941 | $361,562 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Mariannette Miller-Meeks | $9,101,898 | $7,774,924 | $420,434 | $2,422,245 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
