Juliana Stratton
Don Tracy
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 70% fundamentals, 5% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Juliana Stratton | 58.50% |
| Don Tracy | 41.50% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Juliana Stratton | 49.00% |
| Don Tracy | 36.00% |
| Other Option | 15.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Juliana Stratton | $7,230,577 | $5,688,992 | $9,082,588 | $10,489,101 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Don Tracy | $4,914,363 | $4,431,346 | - | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
