
Patty Garcia

Lupe Castillo
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Other Option | 38.00% |
| Patty Garcia | 34.00% |
| Lupe Castillo | 15.00% |
| Chris Getty | 9.00% |
| Ed Hershey | 4.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $526,691 | $369,980 | - | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |