JB Pritzker*
Darren Bailey
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 88% fundamentals, 3% polls, and 9% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| JB Pritzker | 58.70% |
| Darren Bailey | 41.30% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| JB Pritzker | 54.00% |
| Darren Bailey | 34.00% |
| Other Option | 6.00% |
| Collin Corbett | 6.00% |
