Ryan Elijah
Bale Dalton
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Bale Dalton | 45.00% |
| Ryan Elijah | 45.00% |
| Other Option | 10.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Bale Dalton | 41.00% |
| Cory Mills | 39.00% |
| Other Option | 19.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bale Dalton | $2,334,664 | $2,132,410 | $701,386 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Ryan Elijah | $818,460 | $645,454 | - | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
