Maria Salazar*
Eliott Rodriguez
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Maria Salazar | 49.05% |
| Eliott Rodriguez | 46.36% |
| Other Option | 4.59% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Maria Salazar | 47.00% |
| Eliott Rodriguez | 46.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Maria Salazar | 45.00% |
| Eliott Rodriguez | 45.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Elvira Salazar | $2,519,401 | $2,249,750 | $71,252 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Eliott Rodriguez | $1,567,393 | $945,602 | - | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
