Anna Paulina Luna*
Leela Gray
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 61% fundamentals, 14% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Anna Paulina Luna | 48.05% |
| Leela Gray | 45.08% |
| Other Option | 5.25% |
| Tony D'Arrigo | 1.62% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Leela Gray | 47.00% |
| Anna Paulina Luna | 46.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Leela Gray | 51.00% |
| Anna Paulina Luna | 46.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leela Gray | $2,917,665 | $2,261,242 | $66,189 | $200,000 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Anna Paulina Luna | $4,351,792 | $3,736,252 | $150,353 | $921,889 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
