Joe Strada
James Pericola
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 73% fundamentals, 2% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| James Pericola | 42.00% |
| Joe Strada | 42.00% |
| Other Option | 16.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Pericola | $225,868 | $190,672 | - | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Joe Strada | $5,512,075 | $4,652,008 | $218,209 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
