Marni von Wilpert
Jim Desmond
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 68% fundamentals, 7% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Marni von Wilpert | 47.69% |
| Jim Desmond | 42.59% |
| Other Option | 9.72% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Marni von Wilpert | 47.00% |
| Jim Desmond | 44.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Marni von Wilpert | 47.00% |
| Jim Desmond | 38.00% |
| Other Option | 15.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jim Desmond | $3,177,972 | $2,460,454 | $66,354 | $3,074,583 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
| Marni Von Wilpert | $4,966,576 | $4,307,440 | $2,165,965 | $778,454 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
