French Hill*
Chris Jones
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 66% fundamentals, 9% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| French Hill | 52.00% |
| Chris Jones | 48.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Chris Jones | 48.00% |
| French Hill | 44.00% |
| Other Option | 8.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Chris Jones | 47.00% |
| French Hill | 41.00% |
| Other Option | 12.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Jones | $1,959,018 | $1,684,839 | - | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 French Hill | $5,264,024 | $5,151,945 | $418,058 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
