Amish Shah
Jay Feely
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 73% fundamentals, 2% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Amish Shah | 48.73% |
| Jay Feely | 43.17% |
| Other Option | 5.55% |
| Monica Alponte | 2.55% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Amish Shah | 44.40% |
| Jay Feely | 41.60% |
| Other Option | 14.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Joanna Mendoza | 47.00% |
| Juan Ciscomani | 44.00% |
| Other | 9.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Amish Shah | $5,654,454 | $5,540,210 | $284,926 | $2,715,304 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Jay Feely | $3,796,677 | $3,613,913 | $834,297 | $794,163 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
| Thomas James Feely | $1,797,546 | $543,368 | - | - | APRIL QUARTERLY | 3/31/2026 |
