Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Bronson / Wilson / Taylor
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 54% fundamentals, 31% polls, and 15% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 50.70% |
| Bernadette Wilson | 30.60% |
| Dave Bronson | 12.10% |
| Treg Taylor | 6.60% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 55.00% |
| Bernadette Wilson | 45.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 46.00% |
| Bernadette Wilson | 28.00% |
| Dave Bronson | 12.00% |
| Treg Taylor | 9.00% |
| Other Option | 5.00% |
