Wisconsin's 3rd District leans in favor of Derrick Van Orden

Last updated Nov 4, 12:00 AM

Derrick Van Orden*

69%

Probability

Rebecca Cooke

31%

Probability

Lean Republican

PVIR+4

Generic BallotD+8.1

Projected MarginR+3

Trend—

Forecast Components

Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 33% fundamentals and 67% polls. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.

Forecast Breakdown

Fundamentals33%

Polls67%

Generic Congressional Ballot

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Oct 27, 7:45 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	50.90%	+0.3%	+2.4%
Republican	42.80%	+0.3%	+2.2%
Democrat +8.1%
Democrat +8.1%

FEC Data

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
Rebecca Cooke	$6,358,059	$6,347,919	-	-	YEAR-END	12/31/2024

DDHQ Analytics

Markets

2024 Wisconsin US House 3

Watchlist

Social Media

Derrick Van Orden* 69%

Wisconsin's 3rd District leans in favor of Derrick Van Orden

Forecast Components

Generic Congressional Ballot

FEC Data