Forecasted Win Probability
ForecastLast updated Nov 4, 12:00 AM
Kamala Harris
Donald J. Trump
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 25% fundamentals and 75% polls. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
Democrat | |||
Republican | |||
| Democrat | |||
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