Forecasted Win Probability
Ryan Zinke*
Monica Tranel
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 28% fundamentals and 72% polls. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
Democrat | |||
Republican | |||
| Democrat | |||
 | |||
