Michigan's 3rd District leans in favor of Hillary Scholten

Last updated Nov 4, 12:00 AM

Hillary Scholten*

74%

Probability

Paul Hudson

26%

Probability

Lean Democratic

PVID+3

Generic BallotD+8.1

Projected MarginD+4

Trend—

Forecast Components

Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 100% fundamentals. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.

Forecast Breakdown

Fundamentals100%

Generic Congressional Ballot

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Oct 27, 7:45 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	50.90%	+0.3%	+2.4%
Republican	42.80%	+0.3%	+2.2%
Democrat +8.1%
Democrat +8.1%

FEC Data

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
Paul Hudson	$1,201,985	$1,201,985	$449,770	$85,000	TERMINATION REPORT	12/31/2024

DDHQ Analytics

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2024 Michigan US House 3

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Hillary Scholten* 74%

Michigan's 3rd District leans in favor of Hillary Scholten

Forecast Components

Generic Congressional Ballot

FEC Data