Donald J. Trump is safe to win Arkansas's 6 electoral votes

Last updated Nov 4, 12:00 AM

Donald J. Trump

>99%

Probability

Kamala Harris

<1%

Probability

Safe Republican

PVIR+15

Generic BallotD+8.1

Projected MarginR+32

Electoral Votes6

Trend—

Forecast Components

Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 100% fundamentals. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.

Forecast Breakdown

Fundamentals100%

Generic Congressional Ballot

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Oct 27, 7:45 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	50.90%	+0.3%	+2.4%
Republican	42.80%	+0.3%	+2.2%
Democrat +8.1%
Democrat +8.1%

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2024 Arkansas President

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Donald J. Trump >99%

Donald J. Trump is safe to win Arkansas's 6 electoral votes

Forecast Components

Generic Congressional Ballot