Forecasted Win Probability
Nick Begich
Peltola* / Hafner
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 37% fundamentals and 63% polls. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
How popular is Mary Peltola among Alaskans?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
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