Marcus Molinaro is narrowly favored to win New York's 19th District

Last updated Jul 24, 12:00 AM

Marcus Molinaro

54%

Probability

Josh Riley

46%

Probability

Toss Up

Potential Flip

PVIR+1

Generic BallotD+8.1

Projected MarginR+1

Trend—

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Oct 27, 7:45 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	50.90%	+0.3%	+2.4%
Republican	42.80%	+0.3%	+2.2%
Democrat +8.1%
Democrat +8.1%

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
Josh Riley	$4,194,191	$4,177,164	$294,588	$6,150,241	YEAR-END	12/31/2022

2022 New York US House 19