Jerrold Nadler is safe to win New York's 12th District

Last updated Nov 8, 12:00 AM

Jerrold Nadler*

>99%

Probability

Michael Zumbluskas

<1%

Probability

Safe Democratic

PVID+34

Generic BallotD+8.1

Projected MarginD+54

Trend—

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Oct 27, 7:45 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	50.90%	+0.3%	+2.4%
Republican	42.80%	+0.3%	+2.2%
Democrat +8.1%
Democrat +8.1%

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
Jerrold L. Nadler	$2,325,710	$2,819,325	$70,489	-	YEAR-END	12/31/2022

2022 New York US House 12