Nicholas LaLota is likely to win New York's 1st District

Last updated Jul 20, 12:00 AM

Nicholas LaLota

84%

Probability

Bridget Fleming

16%

Probability

Likely Republican

PVIR+3

Generic BallotD+8.1

Projected MarginR+6

Trend—

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Oct 27, 7:45 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	50.90%	+0.3%	+2.4%
Republican	42.80%	+0.3%	+2.2%
Democrat +8.1%
Democrat +8.1%

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
Bridget Fleming	$2,690,504	$2,679,870	$165,877	$48,375	YEAR-END	12/31/2022

2022 New York US House 1