Melanie Stansbury is likely to win New Mexico's 1st District

Last updated Jul 23, 12:00 AM

Melanie Stansbury*

90%

Probability

Michelle Holmes

10%

Probability

Likely Democratic

PVID+6

Generic BallotD+8.1

Projected MarginD+8

Trend—

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Oct 27, 7:45 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	50.90%	+0.3%	+2.4%
Republican	42.80%	+0.3%	+2.2%
Democrat +8.1%
Democrat +8.1%

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
Michelle Garcia Holmes	$391,732	$401,737	-	$9	YEAR-END	12/31/2022

2022 New Mexico US House 1