Karoline Leavitt is narrowly favored to win New Hampshire's 1st District

Last updated Jul 23, 12:00 AM

Karoline Leavitt

56%

Probability

Chris Pappas*

44%

Probability

Toss Up

Potential Flip

PVIR+1

Generic BallotD+8.1

Projected MarginR+1

Trend—

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Oct 27, 7:45 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	50.90%	+0.3%	+2.4%
Republican	42.80%	+0.3%	+2.2%
Democrat +8.1%
Democrat +8.1%

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
Karoline Leavitt	$3,754,591	$3,729,221	$933,790	$9,100,905	YEAR-END	12/31/2022

2022 New Hampshire US House 1