Ryan Zinke is likely to win Montana's 1st District

Last updated Jul 23, 12:00 AM

Ryan Zinke

94%

Probability

Monica Tranel

Probability

Likely Republican

PVIR+5

Generic BallotD+8.1

Projected MarginR+10

Trend—

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Oct 27, 7:45 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	50.90%	+0.3%	+2.4%
Republican	42.80%	+0.3%	+2.2%
Democrat +8.1%
Democrat +8.1%

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
Ryan K Zinke	$6,630,752	$6,523,790	$59,412	$1,133,269	YEAR-END	12/31/2022

2022 Montana US House 1