Thomas Massie is safe to win Kentucky's 4th District

Last updated Jul 16, 12:00 AM

Thomas Massie*

>99%

Probability

Matthew Lehman

<1%

Probability

Safe Republican

PVIR+17

Generic BallotD+8.1

Projected MarginR+38

Trend—

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Oct 27, 7:45 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	50.90%	+0.3%	+2.4%
Republican	42.80%	+0.3%	+2.2%
Democrat +8.1%
Democrat +8.1%

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
Matthew Lehman	$304,094	$298,074	$2,226	-	YEAR-END	12/31/2022

2022 Kentucky US House 4