Mike Thompson is safe to win California's 4th District

Last updated Nov 8, 12:00 AM

Mike Thompson*

>99%

Probability

Matt Brock

<1%

Probability

Safe Democratic

PVID+16

Generic BallotD+8.1

Projected MarginD+27

Trend—

If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?

Oct 27, 7:45 PM EDTNationalLV, RV, Adults

Candidate	Average	1W	1M
Democrat	50.90%	+0.3%	+2.4%
Republican	42.80%	+0.3%	+2.2%
Democrat +8.1%
Democrat +8.1%

How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Outside Support	Outside Oppose	Report	Date
Mr. Mike Thompson	$2,278,299	$2,396,637	$1,443	-	YEAR-END	12/31/2022

2022 California US House 4